Don't expect a high scoring affair for AFCB v Swansea City

The last home match for AFCB this season against Swansea is huge for both clubs but while they will both chuck everything into this game, it doesn't look like being a high scoring affair. Bournemouth have scored 42 goals this season at an average of just 1.16 goals per game, while Swansea City are struggling to find the net with 27 goals and an average of 0.77 goals a game.

The Cherries need to find their home form to get safe
because leaving it to the last game of the season could still spell relegation.

While Swansea City have let in 51 goals this season it is better than AFCB who have conceded 60 goals. Both teams are more used to drawing or losing games and while AFCB have been the more creative side with 388 chances at an average of 10.78 chances per game, AFCB need 9.02 chance before they score, StrataBet calcucates. 

Swansea City may have only created 271 chances in their games or 7.74 chances per game, but they only need 9.34 chances to score a goal. So there isn't much between the two teams in their goal getting power and the Cherries with four goals from their last five him matches are finding it difficult to score two goals at Dean Court at the moment. Swansea have been well out of form in away games with just two goals from their last five away games. I'm beginning to feel this match could be last on Match of the Day if it wasn't for the importance of the result.

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Despite not winning since March, Carlos Carvalhal insists his side were unlucky not to get something against Chelsea and that they fancy their chances in their next three games to get the points they need. 

Brighton's win against Man Utd last night has made it clear how close AFCB are to the trap door. Eddie Howe will need to find some sharper shooting to ensure that AFCB get the points they need, because if they don't score two goals in this match the indications are that Swansea will get at least one goal and a share of the points if not better. 

AFCB Home Form
WLWDL

Swansea City Away
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Possible AFCB Line up

With Ibe and Adam Smith not seen in training the team may look like this with subs being
Boruc, B Smith, S Cook, Gosling, Taylor, Defoe, Mousset.

Lastly, congratulations to Nathan Ake on winning all the player awards this season. 

Swansea's nerve must be tested

Eddie Howe will face Carlos Carvalhal's Swansea City on Saturday with the possibility that the end of the afternoon could just see two points separating the sides. It is not a prospect that would do much to quell any nerves of AFCB fans who might have felt this season was done and dusted when Bournemouth came back to beat WBA 2-1 at Dean Court back in mid-March.

Can AFCB heap trouble on Swansea City like they didn't against Southampton?

Swansea have been battling to 10 sides in recent matches and coming off successive defeats to Man City and Chelsea is no big disgrace, but Carvahal has to have a special game plan for Bournemouth if his side are to pull away from Southampton who they play next. Mathematics may prove that both Swansea and Southampton won't finish above AFCB, but one of them certainly could and this game is important for Bournemouth to keep themselves out of trouble and with a 10th to 12th place finish.

Swansea have two brothers in their side who may be the biggest threat. The Ayew's are powerful runners and will test the pace of AFCB's back line. Jordan Ayew has been on a good run in the past month and even when he is not scoring, Andre Ayew is another player that has good Premier League experience and will relish the scrap to stay up. Swansea also have the physical presence of Tammy Abraham is something AFCB will also have to contend with. It may be too late for Tammy to make the England squad in Russia, but he is good enough to give AFCB's defence problems. Sam Clucas also has a habit of getting significant goals.

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Alfie Mawson probably will be on the plane to Russia and he could be the man that the Cherries have to pull out of position to get the result they desire in this game. Swansea also have the keeper who ranks second in the amount of saves made this season in Lukasz Fabianski. You can take that in two ways, in that Swansea;'s defence offers opposition chances to score regularly or that Swansea have a keeper who tends to be busy and will often make the save.

Bournemouth have to put the pressure on Swansea as they are just as worried if not more so about their position in the league. This game may have plenty of mistakes, but if AFCB can be positive and take the game to Swansea it is a game they can win.

Chimes to Camera - Southampton 2 v 1 AFCB

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